US Payrolls Rise Just 29K, Dollar Index Falls Below 102: Gold Macro Drivers and Cross-Asset Watch
Updated · 2026-10-04 11:22 · 5 sources cited
**Lead:** The evidence set does not provide spot gold or COMEX futures quotes, central bank gold purchases, or mining company updates, so this report does not fabricate gold price moves or related data; below is a roundup of macro and cross-asset information relevant to gold pricing.
**Macro drivers:** Evidence shows the US added 29K nonfarm payrolls in September, below the 90K expected; July and August were revised down by a combined 60K. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and hourly pay grew 3.0% year over year, below the 3.2% expected. After the data, the Dollar Index fell below 102.00 [4].
**European rate path:** ING's Chris Turner argues that the French bond sell-off has broken the narrative of ever-higher short-term rates and raised doubts about further European Central Bank tightening [1].
**Cross-asset watch:** Silver held $60 support and showed bullish divergence [2]; copper defended $6.53 support in an oversold downtrend [5]; Brent crude hovered near $102.30 SuperTrend resistance [6].
**Gold lens:** The evidence does not provide gold prices, central bank gold purchases, or mining company information, so the actual impact of the above macro data on gold cannot be confirmed; for gold, the dollar and rate expectations remain macro variables to track.
Sources
- [1] EUR/USD: French risk premium weighs on Euro – ING · 2026-10-02 17:12 · www.fxstreet.com
- [2] Silver holds $60 support with bullish divergence: Live levels · 2026-10-03 03:18 · www.investing.com
- [4] US payrolls miss at 29K and the Dollar Index drops below 102.00 · 2026-10-03 00:07 · www.fxstreet.com
- [5] Copper clings to $6.53 support in oversold bear trend: Live levels · 2026-10-03 03:18 · www.investing.com
- [6] Brent Oil coiled near $102.30 SuperTrend resistance: Live levels · 2026-10-03 03:18 · www.investing.com